Politics, as foundational studies remind us, is heavily influenced by two main factors: money and numbers. Political Dynamics: Money and Numbers in Kenya’s Leadership Landscape. While both are critical, money often plays a pivotal role in swaying numbers, making political campaigns an expensive affair that tends to favor the wealthy or those with access to financial resources.
President William Samoei Ruto, cognizant of these dynamics, has strategically brought influential players into his administration, a move referred to in political science as leveraging old money. This injection of financially and politically influential individuals aims to solidify his government’s power and influence.
The Return of “Old Money” into Ruto’s Administration
- Lee Kinyanjui: Represents the influence of the Moi family, signaling their political resurgence.
- Nderitu Muriithi: Recently appointed KRA Chairman, brings the Kibaki family into the fold (he is the late President Kibaki’s nephew).
- Mutahi Kagwe: As the son-in-law of the late Cabinet Minister John Michuki, Kagwe symbolizes the return of another powerful political family.
- William Kabogo: Represents the wealthy Kiambu aristocracy and the business elite who amassed wealth long before the current political era.
These appointments showcase a deliberate alignment with Kenya’s political and economic dynasties, emphasizing the role of wealth in securing and maintaining political power.
The Challenge for Gachagua and His Allies
The question arises: can Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua and his political allies, often referred to as the “Murima orphans” (a nod to their central Kenya roots and limited financial leverage), compete with the influence wielded by these powerful families?
Gachagua’s circle includes:
- Ferdinand Waititu
- Betty Wamuchomba
- Karungo Thang’wa
- Gakuya
- John Methu (Nyandarua Senator)
While these leaders may command loyalty among their grassroots supporters, their political influence lacks the financial muscle and deep networks that the “old money” families bring to the table.
The Power Equation
Ruto’s administration appears to favor those with both financial power and established influence. The exclusion of some of Uhuru Kenyatta’s allies like Fred Matiang’i and Peter Munya highlights this reality—this is a government where money and connections are key.
For Gachagua and his allies, the challenge lies in navigating this landscape where financial clout often outweighs grassroots mobilization. The influence of the Moi, Kibaki, Michuki, and Kiambu elites may overshadow the efforts of these political “greenhorns.”
The political battle in Kenya remains a delicate balance of wealth and popular support. The coming years will reveal whether Gachagua and his allies can muster enough influence to match the sway of the old money dynasties now embedded in Ruto’s government. Money and Numbers in Kenya’s Leadership Landscape